MARCH MARKET REVIEW
March market review
The equity market remained turbulent through March, with the
S&P 500 dipping into correction territory – 10% off its February peak –
largely spurred by tariff policy uncertainty and related fears of potentially
rising inflation and dwindling growth.
At its March meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee
(FOMC) left target interest rates unchanged, raising inflation expectations for
2025 and lowering growth forecasts through 2027. Chairman Jerome Powell
indicated that if growth falters, rate cuts would not be delayed.
In addition to easing Fed policy and a healthy earnings
outlook, March also saw oil prices touch six-month lows, thanks partly to the
success of Chinese EV production and perceived US market weakness resulting
from impending tariffs.
The bottom line
Turbulence is expected to continue until the markets have a
chance to adjust to policy changes, which will require clarity from the
administration. Time will tell if tariffs will stand as indicated, or if they
will be lessened or removed amid ongoing negotiations with the countries and
industries affected. Equities may continue moving sideways as the market reacts
to headlines and eventually settles at a historically normal bottom for
pullbacks of this nature.
Kent Pendleton, AAMS®
Financial Advisor, RJFS
Pendle Hill Advisors LLC
14375 Liberty St, Ste 109 | Montgomery,
TX 77356
T 936-297-8267
Kent.Pendleton@raymondjames.com | www.raymondjames.com/pendlehilladvisors
Material
created by Raymond James for use by its advisors. Securities offered
through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment
advisory services are offered through Raymond James Financial Services
Advisors, Inc. Pendle Hill Advisors is not registered broker dealers and is
independent of Raymond James Financial Services.
Investing
involves risk, and investors may incur a profit or a loss. All expressions of
opinion reflect the judgment of the Raymond James Chief Investment Officer and
are subject to change. There is no assurance the trends mentioned will continue
or that the forecasts discussed will be realized. Past performance may not be
indicative of future results. Economic and market conditions are subject to
change. Diversification does not guarantee a profit nor protect against loss.
The Dow Jones
Industrial Average is an unmanaged index of 30 widely held stocks. The NASDAQ
Composite Index is an unmanaged index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ
National Stock Market. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held
stocks. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia and Far East) index is an unmanaged
index that is generally considered representative of the international stock
market. The Russell 2000 is an unmanaged index of small-cap securities. The
Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark
that measures the investment grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable
bond market. An investment cannot be made in these indexes. The performance
mentioned does not include fees and charges, which would reduce an investor’s
returns.
Companies
engaged in business related to a specific sector are subject to fierce
competition and their products and services may be subject to rapid
obsolescence. There are additional risks associated with investing in an
individual sector, including limited diversification. A credit rating of a
security is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold the security and may be
subject to review, revision, suspension, reduction or withdrawal at any time by
the assigning Rating Agency. Bond prices and yields are subject to change based
upon market conditions and availability. If bonds are sold prior to maturity,
you may receive more or less than your initial investment. Income from
municipal bonds is not subject to federal income taxation; however, it may be
subject to state and local taxes and, for certain investors, to the alternative
minimum tax. Income from taxable municipal bonds is subject to federal income
taxation, and it may be subject to state and local taxes.
Investing in
commodities is generally considered speculative because of the significant
potential for investment loss. Their markets are likely to be volatile and
there may be sharp price fluctuations even during periods when prices overall
are rising. International investing involves special risks, including currency
fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political
and economic volatility. The Consumer Price Index is a measure of inflation
compiled by the US Bureau of Labor Studies. The Leading Economic Index (LEI)
provides an early indication of significant turning points in the business
cycle and where the economy is heading in the near term.
Investing in
small-cap stocks generally involves greater risks, and therefore, may not be
appropriate for every investor. The prices of small company stocks may be
subject to more volatility than those of large company stocks. The ISM Services
Index is an economic index based on surveys of more than 400 non-manufacturing
(or services) firms’ purchasing and supply executives. The ISM Manufacturing
Index, also known as the purchasing managers’ index (PMI), is a monthly
indicator of U.S. economic activity based on a survey of purchasing managers at
more than 300 manufacturing firms. Material created by Raymond James for use by
its advisors. 
Copyright Montgomery County News.. All rights reserved.
If the full content does not display, visit the article originally published on this site